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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen (^USDJPY)

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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Futures Market News and Commentary

Hawkish Fed Comments Boost the Dollar

The dollar index (DXY00) Monday rose by +0.12%.  Higher T-note yields Monday supported moderate gains in the dollar.  Also, hawkish comments from several Fed presidents were bullish for the dollar.  However, the upside in the dollar was contained as Monday’s rally in stocks curbed liquidity demand for the dollar.

Cleveland Fed President Mester said she doesn't think inflation will come down quickly and doesn't believe three rate cuts in 2024 are still appropriate.

San Francisco Fed President Daly said she's "not yet confident" inflation is coming down sustainably to 2%.

Fed Vice Chair Jefferson said the US April inflation data were "encouraging," but "it is too early to tell whether the recent slowdown in the disinflationary process will be long lasting."

Atlanta Fed President Bostic said "nothing has changed" regarding his view that maybe only one rate cut will be appropriate in 2024.

The markets are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 5%... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 14, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
83,148 (+5,616)
216,442 (-2,863)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
161,485 (-8,427)
35,303 (+313)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
17,593 (-1,419)
147,102 (+231)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
111,182 (+6,448)
50,377 (-70)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
106,099 (-4,604)
29,593 (+23)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
2,665 (-337)
17,579 (+165)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
151.864 +2.89%
on 05/03/24
160.173 -2.45%
on 04/29/24
+1.604 (+1.04%)
since 04/19/24
3-Month
146.488 +6.66%
on 03/08/24
160.173 -2.45%
on 04/29/24
+5.951 (+3.96%)
since 02/21/24
52-Week
137.248 +13.84%
on 07/14/23
160.173 -2.45%
on 04/29/24
+18.347 (+13.30%)
since 05/19/23

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 157.344
2nd Resistance Point 156.823
1st Resistance Point 156.542
Last Price 156.263
1st Support Level 155.740
2nd Support Level 155.219
3rd Support Level 154.938

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52-Week High 160.173
Last Price 156.263
Fibonacci 61.8% 151.416
Fibonacci 50% 148.711
Fibonacci 38.2% 146.005
52-Week Low 137.248

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